IPCC AR6 Synthesis Report LR Figure 4.1 (a): Sectoral emissions in pathways that limit warming to 1.5°C


Sectoral CO2 and non-CO2 emissions in global modelled pathways that limit warming to 1.5°C (>50%) with no or limited overshoot. The horizontal lines illustrate halving 2015 emissions (base year of the pathways) and reaching net-zero emissions (solid lines). The range shows the 5–95th percentile of the emissions across the pathways. The timing strongly differs by sector, with the CO2 emissions from the electricity/fossil fuel industries sector and land-use change generally reaching net zero earlier. Non-CO2 emissions from agriculture are also substantially reduced compared to pathways without climate policy but do not typically reach zero.


Schematic of the IPCC AR6 framework for assessing future greenhouse gas emissions, climate change, risks, impacts and mitigation


Data download: IPCC AR6 SYR LR Figure 4.1(a) (Excel Workbook, 15 KB)


Data Citation:
IPCC, 2024. IPCC AR6 Synthesis Report LR Figure 4.1 (a): Sectoral emissions in pathways that limit warming to 1.5°C. Palisades, New York: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). https://doi.org/10.7927/42f9-9t48. Accessed DAY MONTH YEAR


Citation of IPCC Report:
IPCC, 2023: Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 184 pp. https://doi.org/10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647.