Identification_Information: Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: CUNY Institute for Demographic Research - CIDR - City University of New York, Center for International Earth Science Information Network - CIESIN - Columbia University, and The World Bank Publication_Date: 20220708 Title: Groundswell Spatial Population and Migration Projections at One-Eighth Degree According to SSPs and RCPs, 2010-2050 Edition: 1.00 Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: vector, map Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Palisades, NY Publisher: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC) Online_Linkage: https://doi.org/10.7927/c5kq-fb78 Larger_Work_Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: Rigaud, K.K., A. de Sherbinin, B. Jones, J. Bergmann, V. Clement, K. Ober, J. Schewe, S. Adamo, B. McCusker, S. Heuser, and A. Midgley Publication_Date: 20180319 Title: Groundswell: Preparing for Internal Climate Migration Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: report Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Washington, DC Publisher: World Bank Online_Linkage: http://hdl.handle.net/10986/29461 Description: Abstract: The Groundswell Spatial Population and Migration Projections at One-Eighth Degree According to SSPs and RCPs, 2010-2050, data set provides a baseline population distribution for 2010 and projections from 2020 to 2050, in ten-year increments, of population distribution and internal climate-related and other migration. The projections are produced using the NCAR-CIDR Spatial Population Downscaling Model developed by the CUNY Institute for Demographic Research (CIDR) and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). The model incorporates assumptions based on future development scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways or SSPs) and emissions trajectories (Representative Concentration Pathways or RCPs). The SSPs include SSP2, representing a middle-of-the road future, and SSP4, representing an unequal development future. Climate models using low and high emissions scenarios, RCP2.6 and RCP8.5, then drive climate impact models on crop productivity and water availability from the Inter-Sectoral Impacts Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP). Sea-level rise impacts in the coastal zone are estimated to be 1 meter under RCP2.6 and 2 meters under RCP8.5, to account for potential storm surge or coastal flooding. Three scenarios are generated, a pessimistic reference scenario combining SSP4 and RCP8.5, a more climate-friendly scenario combining SSP4 and RCP2.6, and a more inclusive development scenario combining SSP2 and RCP8.5, and each scenario represents an ensemble of four model runs combining different climate impact models. The modeling work was funded and developed jointly with The World Bank, and covers most World Bank client countries, with reports released in 2018 and 2021 that address different regions and provide full methodological details. Purpose: To provide a data set that allows users to understand how slow-onset climate change impacts on water availability and crop productivity, coupled with sea-level rise and storm surge, may affect the future population distribution and climate-related internal migration in low to middle income countries. Time_Period_of_Content: Time_Period_Information: Range_of_Dates/Times: Beginning_Date: 20100101 Ending_Date: 20501231 Currentness_Reference: publication date Status: Progress: Complete Maintenance_and_Update_Frequency: As needed Spatial_Domain: Bounding_Coordinates: West_Bounding_Coordinate: -180.000000 East_Bounding_Coordinate: 180.000000 North_Bounding_Coordinate: 56.000000 South_Bounding_Coordinate: -56.000000 Keywords: Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: Data Granularity Theme_Keyword: Country Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: SEDAC Theme Theme_Keyword: Climate Theme_Keyword: Marine and Coastal Theme_Keyword: Population Theme_Keyword: Sustainability Theme_Keyword: Water Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: ISO Topic Theme_Keyword: Planning/Cadastre Theme_Keyword: Society Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: GCMD Science Keywords, Version 8.6 Theme_Keyword: EARTH SCIENCE > CLIMATE INDICATORS > ATMOSPHERIC/OCEAN INDICATORS > SEA LEVEL RISE Place: Place_Keyword_Thesaurus: CIESIN Location Terms, Version 3.1 Place_Keyword: Afghanistan Place_Keyword: Albania Place_Keyword: Algeria Place_Keyword: Angola Place_Keyword: Argentina Place_Keyword: Armenia Place_Keyword: Azerbaijan Place_Keyword: Bangladesh Place_Keyword: Belize Place_Keyword: Benin Place_Keyword: Bhutan Place_Keyword: Bolivia Place_Keyword: Bosnia and Herzegovina Place_Keyword: Botswana Place_Keyword: Brazil Place_Keyword: Bulgaria Place_Keyword: Burkina Faso Place_Keyword: Burundi Place_Keyword: Cape Verde Place_Keyword: Cambodia Place_Keyword: Cameroon Place_Keyword: Central African Republic Place_Keyword: Chad Place_Keyword: Chile Place_Keyword: China Place_Keyword: Colombia Place_Keyword: Comoros Place_Keyword: Congo, Democratic Place_Keyword: Congo Place_Keyword: Costa Rica Place_Keyword: Cote d'Ivoire Place_Keyword: Croatia Place_Keyword: Djibouti Place_Keyword: Ecuador Place_Keyword: Egypt Place_Keyword: El Salvador Place_Keyword: Equatorial Guinea Place_Keyword: Eritrea Place_Keyword: Eswatini Place_Keyword: Ethiopia Place_Keyword: French Guiana Place_Keyword: Gabon Place_Keyword: Gambia Place_Keyword: Georgia Place_Keyword: Ghana Place_Keyword: Guatemala Place_Keyword: Guinea Place_Keyword: Guinea-Bissau Place_Keyword: Guyana Place_Keyword: Honduras Place_Keyword: India Place_Keyword: Indonesia Place_Keyword: Kazakhstan Place_Keyword: Kenya Place_Keyword: Kosovo Place_Keyword: Kyrgyztan Place_Keyword: Laos Place_Keyword: Lesotho Place_Keyword: Liberia Place_Keyword: Libya Place_Keyword: Madagascar Place_Keyword: Malawi Place_Keyword: Malaysia Place_Keyword: Maldives Place_Keyword: Mali Place_Keyword: Mauritania Place_Keyword: Mauritius Place_Keyword: Mexico Place_Keyword: Mongolia Place_Keyword: Montenegro Place_Keyword: Morocco Place_Keyword: Mozambique Place_Keyword: Myanmar Place_Keyword: Namibia Place_Keyword: Nepal Place_Keyword: Nicaragua Place_Keyword: Niger Place_Keyword: Nigeria Place_Keyword: North Macedonia Place_Keyword: Pakistan Place_Keyword: Panama Place_Keyword: Papua New Guinea Place_Keyword: Paraguay Place_Keyword: Peru Place_Keyword: Philippines Place_Keyword: Romania Place_Keyword: Rwanda Place_Keyword: Sao Tome and Principe Place_Keyword: Senegal Place_Keyword: Serbia Place_Keyword: Sierra Leone Place_Keyword: Somalia Place_Keyword: South Africa Place_Keyword: South Sudan Place_Keyword: Sri Lanka Place_Keyword: Sudan Place_Keyword: Suriname Place_Keyword: Tajikistan Place_Keyword: Tanzania Place_Keyword: Thailand Place_Keyword: Timor-Leste Place_Keyword: Togo Place_Keyword: Tunisia Place_Keyword: Turkey Place_Keyword: Turkmenistan Place_Keyword: Uganda Place_Keyword: Uruguay Place_Keyword: Uzbekistan Place_Keyword: Venezuela Place_Keyword: Vietnam Place_Keyword: Zambia Place_Keyword: Zimbabwe Access_Constraints: None Use_Constraints: This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0). Users are free to use, copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt the work for commercial and non-commercial purposes, without restriction, as long as clear attribution of the source is provided. Point_of_Contact: Contact_Information: Contact_Organization_Primary: Contact_Organization: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC) Contact_Address: Address_Type: mailing and physical address Address: CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000 City: Palisades State_or_Province: New York Postal_Code: 10964 Country: United States Contact_Voice_Telephone: +1 845-365-8920 Contact_Facsimile_Telephone: +1 845-365-8922 Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu Browse_Graphic: Browse_Graphic_File_Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/downloads/maps/climmig/climmig-groundswell-pop-mig-proj-1-8-ssps-rcps-2010-2050/climmig-groundswell-pop-mig-proj-1-8-ssps-rcps-2010-2050-africa-2030-2050-thumbnail.jpg Browse_Graphic_File_Description: Groundswell Spatial Population and Migration Projections at 1/8th Degree According to SSPs and RCPs, (2030, 2050): Africa Browse_Graphic_File_Type: JPEG Cross_Reference: Citation_Information: Originator: Jones, B., and Center for International Earth Science Information Network - CIESIN - Columbia University Publication_Date: 20220708 Title: Documentation for Groundswell Population and Migration Projections at One-Eighth Degree According to SSPs and RCPs, 2010-2050 Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: documentation Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Palisades, NY Publisher: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center Online_Linkage: https://doi.org/10.7927/2wn9-ww02 Spatial_Data_Organization_Information: Direct_Spatial_Reference_Method: Vector Spatial_Reference_Information: Horizontal_Coordinate_System_Definition: Geographic: Latitude_Resolution: 0.125000 Longitude_Resolution: 0.125000 Geographic_Coordinate_Units: Decimal degrees Geodetic_Model: Horizontal_Datum_Name: WGS84 Ellipsoid_Name: WGS84 Semi-major_Axis: 6378137.000000 Denominator_of_Flattening_Ratio: 298.257224 Distribution_Information: Distributor: Contact_Information: Contact_Organization_Primary: Contact_Organization: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC) Contact_Address: Address_Type: mailing and physical address Address: CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000 City: Palisades State_or_Province: New York Postal_Code: 10964 Country: United States Contact_Voice_Telephone: +1 845-365-8920 Contact_Facsimile_Telephone: +1 845-365-8922 Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu Resource_Description: CIESIN_SEDAC_CLIMMIG_GSPMP18SR Distribution_Liability: CIESIN follows procedures designed to ensure that data disseminated by CIESIN are of reasonable quality. If, despite these procedures, users encounter apparent errors or misstatements in the data, they should contact SEDAC User Services at +1 845-365-8920 or via email at ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu. Neither CIESIN nor NASA verifies or guarantees the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of any data provided. CIESIN provides this data without warranty of any kind whatsoever, either expressed or implied. CIESIN shall not be liable for incidental, consequential, or special damages arising out of the use of any data provided by CIESIN. Standard_Order_Process: Digital_Form: Digital_Transfer_Information: Fees: 0 Ordering_Instructions: The data in Esri Geodatabase (.gdb) and GeoPackage (.gpkg) formats; and the maps in Portable Document Format (.pdf), and Portable Network Graphics (.png) formats are available from the NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Standard_Order_Process: Digital_Form: Digital_Transfer_Information: Format_Name: Geodatabase File_Decompression_Technique: Unzip Digital_Transfer_Option: Online_Option: Computer_Contact_Information: Network_Address: Network_Resource_Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/climmig-groundswell-pop-mig-proj-1-8-ssps-rcps-2010-2050/data-download Access_Instructions: Data accessible via the data set landing page. 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Box 1000 City: Palisades State_or_Province: New York Postal_Code: 10964 Country: United States Contact_Voice_Telephone: +1 845-365-8988 Contact_Facsimile_Telephone: +1 845-365-8922 Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: metadata@ciesin.columbia.edu Metadata_Standard_Name: FGDC Content Standards for Digital Geospatial Metadata Metadata_Standard_Version: FGDC-STD-001-1998 Metadata_Time_Convention: local time