Identification_Information: Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: Seto, K., B. Güneralp, and L.R. Hutyra Publication_Date: 20160304 Title: Global Grid of Probabilities of Urban Expansion to 2030 Edition: 1.00 Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: raster, map, map service Publication_Information: Publication_Place: Palisades, NY Publisher: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC) Online_Linkage: https://doi.org/10.7927/H4Z899CG Larger_Work_Citation: Citation_Information: Originator: Seto, K., B. Güneralp, and L.R. Hutyra Publication_Date: 20121002 Title: Global Forecasts of Urban Expansion to 2030 and Direct Impacts on Biodiversity and Carbon Pools Geospatial_Data_Presentation_Form: journal article Series_Information: Series_Name: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS) Issue_Identification: 109 (40): 16083-16088 Online_Linkage: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1211658109 Description: Abstract: The Global Grid of Probabilities of Urban Expansion to 2030 presents spatially explicit probabilistic forecasts of global urban land cover change from 2000 to 2030 at a 2.5 arc-minute resolution. For each grid cell that is non-urban in 2000, a Monte-Carlo model assigned a probability of becoming urban by the year 2030. The authors first extracted urban extent circa 2000 from the NASA MODIS Land Cover Type Product Version 5, which provides a conservative estimate of global urban land cover. The authors then used population densities from the Global Rural-Urban Mapping Project, Version 1 (GRUMPv1) to create the population density driver map. They estimated the amount of new urban land in each United Nations region by 2030 in a Monte-Carlo fashion based on present empirical distribution of regional urban population densities and probability density functions of projected regional population and GDP values for 2030. To facilitate integration with other data products, CIESIN reprojected the data from Goode's Homolosine to Geographic WGS84 projection. Purpose: To assess likely future areas of urban expansion up to the year 2030. Time_Period_of_Content: Time_Period_Information: Range_of_Dates/Times: Beginning_Date: 20000101 Ending_Date: 20301231 Currentness_Reference: publication date Status: Progress: Complete Maintenance_and_Update_Frequency: As needed Spatial_Domain: Bounding_Coordinates: West_Bounding_Coordinate: -180.000000 East_Bounding_Coordinate: 180.000000 North_Bounding_Coordinate: 90.000000 South_Bounding_Coordinate: -90.000000 Keywords: Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: SEDAC Theme Theme_Keyword: Land Use Theme_Keyword: Population Theme_Keyword: Urban Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: Data Granularity Theme_Keyword: Global Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: ISO Topic Theme_Keyword: Imagery/Base Maps/Earth Cover Theme: Theme_Keyword_Thesaurus: GCMD Science Keywords, Version 8.6 Theme_Keyword: EARTH SCIENCE > HUMAN DIMENSIONS > HABITAT CONVERSION/FRAGMENTATION > URBANIZATION/URBAN SPRAWL Place: Place_Keyword_Thesaurus: CIESIN Location Terms, Version 3.1 Place_Keyword: Global Access_Constraints: None Use_Constraints: Users are free to use, copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt the work for commercial and non-commercial purposes, without restriction, as long as clear attribution of the source is provided. Point_of_Contact: Contact_Information: Contact_Organization_Primary: Contact_Organization: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC) Contact_Address: Address_Type: mailing and physical address Address: CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000 City: Palisades State_or_Province: New York Postal_Code: 10964 Country: USA Contact_Voice_Telephone: +1 845-365-8920 Contact_Facsimile_Telephone: +1 845-365-8922 Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu Browse_Graphic: Browse_Graphic_File_Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/downloads/maps/lulc/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030-thumbnail.jpg Browse_Graphic_File_Description: Global Probabilities of Urban Expansion (2000-2030) Browse_Graphic_File_Type: JPEG Spatial_Data_Organization_Information: Direct_Spatial_Reference_Method: Raster Raster_Object_Information: Raster_Object_Type: Grid Cell Row_Count: 2907 Column_Count: 7481 Vertical_Count: 1 Spatial_Reference_Information: Horizontal_Coordinate_System_Definition: Geographic: Latitude_Resolution: 0.048126 Longitude_Resolution: 0.048126 Geographic_Coordinate_Units: Decimal degrees Geodetic_Model: Horizontal_Datum_Name: WGS84 Ellipsoid_Name: WGS84 Semi-major_Axis: 6378137.000000 Denominator_of_Flattening_Ratio: 298.257224 Distribution_Information: Distributor: Contact_Information: Contact_Organization_Primary: Contact_Organization: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC) Contact_Address: Address_Type: mailing and physical address Address: CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000 City: Palisades State_or_Province: New York Postal_Code: 10964 Country: USA Contact_Voice_Telephone: +1 845-365-8920 Contact_Facsimile_Telephone: +1 845-365-8922 Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu Resource_Description: CIESIN_SEDAC_LULC_PUEXPANS_2030 Distribution_Liability: CIESIN follows procedures designed to ensure that data disseminated by CIESIN are of reasonable quality. If, despite these procedures, users encounter apparent errors or misstatements in the data, they should contact SEDAC User Services at +1 845-365-8920 or via email at ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu. Neither CIESIN nor NASA verifies or guarantees the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of any data provided. CIESIN provides this data without warranty of any kind whatsoever, either expressed or implied. CIESIN shall not be liable for incidental, consequential, or special damages arising out of the use of any data provided by CIESIN. Standard_Order_Process: Fees: 0 Ordering_Instructions: The data in Georeferenced Tagged Image File Format (.tif), in the Geographic and Goode Homolosine Projections; the maps in Portable Document Format (.pdf), and Portable Network Graphics (.png) formats; and the web map services are available from the NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Standard_Order_Process: Digital_Form: Digital_Transfer_Information: Format_Name: GeoTIFF File_Decompression_Technique: Unzip Digital_Transfer_Option: Online_Option: Computer_Contact_Information: Network_Address: Network_Resource_Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030/data-download Access_Instructions: Data accessible via the data set landing page. Digital_Form: Digital_Transfer_Information: Format_Name: PDF Digital_Transfer_Option: Online_Option: Computer_Contact_Information: Network_Address: Network_Resource_Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030/maps Access_Instructions: Maps accessible via the data set landing page. Digital_Form: Digital_Transfer_Information: Format_Name: PNG Digital_Transfer_Option: Online_Option: Computer_Contact_Information: Network_Address: Network_Resource_Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030/maps Access_Instructions: Maps accessible via the data set landing page. Digital_Form: Digital_Transfer_Information: Format_Name: WMS Digital_Transfer_Option: Online_Option: Computer_Contact_Information: Network_Address: Network_Resource_Name: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/lulc-global-grid-prob-urban-expansion-2030/maps/services Access_Instructions: Web Map Services accessible via the data set landing page. Available_Time_Period: Time_Period_Information: Range_of_Dates/Times: Beginning_Date: 20160304 Ending_Date: Present Metadata_Reference_Information: Metadata_Date: 20140929 Metadata_Review_Date: 20220414 Metadata_Contact: Contact_Information: Contact_Organization_Primary: Contact_Organization: Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN) Metadata Administration Contact_Address: Address_Type: mailing and physical address Address: CIESIN, Columbia University, 61 Route 9W, P.O. Box 1000 City: Palisades State_or_Province: New York Postal_Code: 10964 Country: USA Contact_Voice_Telephone: +1 845-365-8988 Contact_Facsimile_Telephone: +1 845-365-8922 Contact_Electronic_Mail_Address: metadata@ciesin.columbia.edu Metadata_Standard_Name: FGDC Content Standards for Digital Geospatial Metadata Metadata_Standard_Version: FGDC-STD-001-1998 Metadata_Time_Convention: local time