TABLE 17. PARMS CONTRIBUTING TO UNCERTAINTY IN MAJOR OUTPUT VARIABLES

(Numbers in Table are PARMs--See Appendix C for definition)

OUTPUT (VAL)		1	2	3	4	5	6	R2

  Gas Price
   37			12	31	9	32	7	53	.85
   38			12	9	31	32	53	11	.79
   39			12	9	31	32	11	10	.77
   40			9	12	32	31	10	11	.77

 Solids Price
   42			62	12	2	61	60	3	.63
   43			62	60	9	12	32	61	.63
   44			9	32	12	60	62	11	.68
   45			9	32	12	60	11	62	.72

 Nuclear Costs
   47-50		73	74	-	-	-	-	.95-.97	

 Solar Costs
   51-55		75	-	-	-	-	-	.91

 Electricity Output
   57			3	31	12	32	10	9	.89
   58			3	32	12	9	31	10	.78
   59			32	12	9	31	3	10	.79
   60			32	12	9	31	3	11	.80

 Shale Production
   62			68	3	9	33	-	-	.32
   63			69	33	68	7	28	-	.35
   64			33	32	3	8	68	11	.36
   65			32	33	9	65	69	12	.60

 Biomass Production
   67			2	62	32	9	3	61	.90
   68			2	32	62	9	60	12	.86
   69			2	32	9	12	60	62	.83
   70			2	32	9	12	31	60	.83

TABLE 17. PARMS CONTRIBUTING TO UNCERTAINTY IN MAJOR OUTPUT VARIABLES (Continued)

(Numbers in Table are PARMs--See Appendix C for definition)

OUTPUT (VAL)		1	2	3	4	5	6	R2

 Oil Production (excluding Shale)
   72			3	32	12	31	9	7	.92
   73			32	12	9	3	31	11	.88
   74			12	73	11	4	31	79	.20
   75			9	32	3	11	33	73	.43

 Gas Production
   77			31	12	32	9	7	11	.89
   78			31	32	12	9	7	11	.86
   79			32	12	9	31	53	7	.51
   80			11	53	27	6	76	69	.26

 Coal Production
   82			62	2	32	12	31	61	.46
   83			32	62	2	12	31	9	.64
   84			32	12	62	31	9	2	.68
   85			32	12	62	31	9	2	.68

 Nuclear Production
   87			73	3	10	12	31	79	.74
   88			73	10	12	3	9	74	.74
   89			73	10	12	9	74	32	.73
   90			73	12	9	32	74	10	.74

 Solar Production
   92			10	75	3	11	7	1	.92
   93			10	75	9	32	31	11	.77
   94			10	75	9	32	31	12	.78
   95			10	75	9	32	12	31	.77

The top six PARMs are reported in all cases except where the relative partial sum of squares is less than .01.

All rankings are based on log transformed data.